open access publication

Article, 2024

The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks

The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, ISSN 1573-045X, 0895-5638, Pages 1-61, 10.1007/s11146-024-09978-z

Contributors

Wang, Shixuan 0000-0003-2113-5521 (Corresponding author) [1] Gupta, Rangan [2] Bonato, Matteo [3] [4] Cepni, Oguzhan 0000-0003-0711-8880 [5] [6]

Affiliations

  1. [1] University of Reading
  2. [NORA names: United Kingdom; Europe, Non-EU; OECD];
  3. [2] University of Pretoria
  4. [NORA names: South Africa; Africa];
  5. [3] IPAG Business School
  6. [NORA names: France; Europe, EU; OECD];
  7. [4] University of Johannesburg
  8. [NORA names: South Africa; Africa];
  9. [5] Copenhagen Business School
  10. [NORA names: CBS Copenhagen Business School; University; Denmark; Europe, EU; Nordic; OECD];

Abstract

We use a vector autoregressive model with functional shocks, capturing the shift of the entire term structure of interest rates on monetary policy announcement dates, to empirically evaluate the effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy decisions on the Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) markets of the United States (US). Using 5-min interval intraday data, we analyze not only the impact on REITs returns, but also its realized variance (RV), realized jumps (RJ), realized skewness (RSK), and realized kurtosis (RKU) over the daily period of September 2008 to June 2021. While the effects of conventional monetary policy shocks on the moments of REITs returns tend to conform with economic theories, the same is not necessarily the case with unconventional monetary policy shocks. In addition, though monetary policy shocks have the most persistent and strongest effects on RJ, the extreme behaviour of the REITs market is also observed through RSK and RKU. Moreover, when we look into 10 REITs sectors, there is indeed heterogeneity in terms of the strength of the effect, but not so much in terms of the sign of responses of the various moments compared to the overall market. Our results have important implications for REITs market participants, given its exponential growth as an asset class.

Keywords

Convention, Effect of Convention, REIT market, REIT returns, REIT sector, Real, United States, announcement date, asset classes, assets, autoregressive model, behavior, cases, class, conventional monetary policy shocks, data, date, decision, economic theory, effect, estate investment trusts, evidence, exponential growth, growth, heterogeneity, impact, interval, intraday data, investment trusts, jump, kurtosis, market, market participants, model, moment, monetary policy decisions, monetary policy shocks, participants, period, policy decisions, policy shocks, rate, real estate investment trusts, realized jumps, realized kurtosis, realized skewness, realized variance, response, results, return, sector, shift, shock, signs, signs of response, skewness, state, strength, structure, theory, trust, unconventional monetary policy shocks, units, var, variance, vector, vector autoregressive model

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